A Race Against Extinction



Rachel Ann Crafton


 
© Copyright 2025 by Rachel Ann Crafton



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Rainforests stretched for miles. There were no deserts, there was only land covered in masses of greenery, in thick fields of vegetation. Then the cooling and drying came, vast tracts of lush life shrinking and shrinking. On these plains, long-legged, speedy predators stalk their prey. They race, a blur of gold and black, they jump with muscles coiled, and they tear with claws outstretched. Survival has won for them, and lost for their prey.

100,000 years ago, they extended their range. They spread into current-day Asia, Europe, North America, and Africa, quickly finding themselves much larger territories. Yet, in this wandering, they suddenly found themselves almost all alone. The world had grown quieter for them, their ability to interchange genes becoming vastly limited, to the point that their populations began to become distinct from one another. The ones in Africa are not like those in Asia. Those in Asia are not like those in Europe. Those in Europe are not like those in North America.

That was okay, though. They were still surviving.

Until the end of the ice age came. Those in North America, those in Europe, they perished. They couldn’t survive the temperatures and the massive competition for shelter, prey, and other basic needs. It was only those in Asia and Africa that came through. And even then… So many of their kin died, starved, frozen, out-competed.

Only a few exceptionally hardy individuals survived it, and they found that with so few left, their options of mate were limited. Interbreeding was rampant, cousins with cousins, sometimes siblings with siblings. There was no other choice, no other way to survive. Their genetic variability was reduced on an extreme scale, even more so than before.

Cheetahs managed to survive, but their survival is still threatened.

In the 19th century, cheetah populations were calculated as high as 100,000 individuals. There was a great increase, but it wouldn’t last. With that low genetic variability stemming from their species' forerunners being only a handful of individuals, they were struggling. Their litters shrank, and their reproductive success was limited. Suddenly their population wasn’t growing anymore, in fact, it was shrinking, and their ability to adapt to change, whether it be temperature, disease, or air quality, was limited.

Now, it’s a population in crisis.

Globally, there are around 6,500 to 7,100 cheetahs according to the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN). The overwhelming majority of these cheetahs are African cheetahs, but a small pocket of Asiatic cheetahs remain in Iran.

The cheetahs in captive breeding programs that desperately try to staunch the bleed out of the species are almost exclusively African cheetahs, and they face many quality of life-issues. In the wild, they live to be 7 – 9 on average, although in captivity they may live to the late teens. But this comes with challenges of its own. At a certain point, their ability to digest their food becomes limited, with special enzymes being added to meat to give them their required nutrition. They face problems with their bones, with their joints, and generally seem to be held together by a thread of pure will.

Their quality of life is extensively monitored, with most zoos and conservation organizations performing consistent wellness checks to ensure their individuals are comfortable, mobile, alert, bright, and able to interact with their environments. They ensure that their life is one worth living.

Yet even with all of these efforts, even with human intervention, both subspecies of cheetah are on the brink of extinction, wrought by their genetics.

This begs the question: is it worth combining the genetic diversity of the African and Asiatic cheetah to ensure the continued survival of the cheetah as a whole?

PubMed published a study that looked at the DNA of cheetahs. The team analyzed mitochondrial DNA (passed from mother to offspring) as well as microsatellite data from 94 cheetah samples. Their global genetic variation is much higher than what we see in their two species separately. In that spread of cheetahs, which occurred over 30,000 years ago, they became absolutely separate species.

Molecular Ecology similarly published a study that found the most significant differentiation in genetics was between Asiatic and African cheetahs. Before the Indian cheetah was hunted to extinction, their DNA was obtained as well. Still, it is the Asiatic and African with the most variation from one another. Both of these studies are interested in preserving the distinct species and creating strategies for their continued wild existence.

It’s a difficult task, though. With their poor genetic variation stemming from their narrow escapes from extinction, it’s more likely a novel disease will wipe out the population than their genetics will mutate enough to create genetic variation. Perhaps they could outrun extinction a third time if this happened, but it’s doubtful.

Asiatic cheetahs are smaller than their African counterparts. Not diminutive, but even more streamlined. They have smaller and longer necks, with their legs being even more slender, the envy of ballerinas everywhere. Arguably, they’re also fluffier, but that’s a difficult thing to objectively quantify.

The Asiatic cheetah looks for medium-sized herbivores. Indian gazelle, goitered gazelle, wild sheep, wild goat, and cape hare. The African cheetah has over 25 species of herbivores, and the majority of them are within the cheetah’s diet range. Their sprawling savannas and grasslands enable them to hunt a variety, while the mountainous and arid regions of the Asiatic cheetah restrict their choices.

Are these visible differences so special that we cannot consider the species’ health as a whole?

Consider hybridization.

When most people think of hybridization, they think of a mule, a horse-donkey hybrid. Mules are cultural idioms, “stubborn as a mule,” being thrown around quite a bit. The problem with mules is that they are sterile, unable to create offspring of their own. However, donkeys and horses are two different species, not a subspecies attempting to match.

Napoleon Dynamite also made the idea of the “liger” (lion-tiger hybrid) popular, and it’s something humans dabbled in. For example, we know male ligers are sterile, but female ligers are not. However, one must consider that even though female ligers aren’t sterile, that doesn’t mean they will be able to produce healthy or viable offspring themselves (though it has been documented at least once). Again, these two cats are two very different species.

Hybridization between two subspecies generally works, which can be seen in certain tigers and plant species. There’s something called “hybrid vigor” in which the resulting offspring is not only genetically different but can be hardier, healthier, and grow bigger than its parents.

The National Library of Medicine posted a study that was devoted to subspecies hybridization as a potential conservation tool for at-risk species. They used subspecies of the Wild ass and its reintroduction to Israel as their basis. They found there were no genetic or behavioral barriers to subspecies hybridizations, that no niche subpopulations formed, and that it is likely the weak genetic differentiation between the subspecies that allowed for it. In their opinion, low levels of divergence between subspecies could make for good candidates for hybridization as part of genetic management.

Then comes the ethical questions and concerns. The cheetah would lose the unique subspecies characteristics. On the other hand, they’d have increased genetic diversity, and a better chance of bouncing back in the wild – their populations would be healthier, and more resilient against potentially extinction level diseases and climate disturbances.

It’s a touchy subject, with many voices arguing for and against it.

Instead of human voices, listen to the voice of the cheetah.

In South Africa, there’s been significant cheetah population growth, largely in part due to a conservation project that manages and rehabilitates cheetahs. Globally, they’ve made a comeback in the past, at least twice, so why can’t they do it again? Yet, their genetics remain limited. Their fertility remains stagnant. Their skulls remain asymmetrical, pointing to inbreeding. Their genomes often exceed 90 percent homozygosity (genetic similarity).

The house cat and dog have several inbred groups…and have significantly lower rates of homozygosity.

Do you want future generations to be able to see healthy cheetahs, not only in zoological institutions but even on a safari? Do you want future generations to be able to see the cheetah, in person, a currently existing creature, or to never be able to see them, knowing of them only as a recently extinct beast?

100,000 years ago, they ran across four continents. Today, they run from extinction.

Cheetahs have been survivors for over 100,000 years. It’s about time we stepped up for their preservation and their future because if we do nothing, we know how the story ends.



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